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November 16, 2010

Wahooze ACC Picks -- Week Twelve

I'll have some stuff about the football loss to Maryland, the importance of the BC game, and my observations from the first two basketball games, but first we gotta roll out the picks for this week...

Last Week: 4-2 (3-3 ATS)

Season: 61-26 (40-39 ATS)


Not sure if the Semenholes are #1, soul sista.


Virginia @ Boston College (-7.0)
Ugh.  I'd like to think we can win this game against BC, but we won't if we continue to play shoddy defense, rack up penalties, and turn the ball over.  At this point, I'm in 'hope for the best, expect the worst' mode.  Boston College is into the part of their season where they grind out victories.  They aren't scoring a lot, but they're running the ball well and not committing turnovers.  I think it's a fairly good matchup for us, but I just don't see us winning this game on the road.  24-14, BC

NC State @ North Carolina (-2.5)
I really do think this is a coin-toss sort of game.  Carolina will be tough at home, but I think top to bottom, State has the better team.  Both are playing .500 ball here in the second half of the season.  I'm going to give the [slight] edge to the home-standing Tarheels.  28-24, UNC

Duke @ Georgia Tech (-13.0)
Georgia Tech, reeling from three straight losses, needs this win to get bowl eligible.  Duke's defense sucks, and will have no answer for the triple option.  I think this game will unfold like a weird sort of shootout, with the Wreck taking a double-digit lead, and Duke making a rally by putting the ball in the air.  In the end, Georgia Tech's superior talent and home field advantage will win out.  45-31, GT

Clemson (-13.0) @ Wake Forest
Even with as bad as Virginia has played lately, Wake has been worse.  Clemson isn't a great team, but they aren't bad either.  They, like Georgia Tech, need this win in order to gain bowl eligibility, and they can't count on beating South Carolina next week for that sixth win.  The Tigers will come out hungry and a little bit desperate.  Bad news for the Deacs.  38-13, Clemson

Virginia Tech (-2.5) @ Miami
Here's a big game in the grand scheme of things.  A win, and the Hokies lock up a spot in the ACC championship game.  A win for Miami keeps them alive.  This game being played in Miami makes it interesting, but I don't think the Canes have an answer for Tyrod Taylor's legs, the VT running game in general, or that playmaking Hokie defense.  They are old rivals, but I think Tech rolls in this one.  31-17, VT

Florida State (-4.5) @ Maryland
Maryland has designs on winning the Atlantic Division, and they play co-leaders Florida State and NC State down the stretch.  The Terps have a solid little team, scrappy and opportunistic.  But big bad FSU has all of the talent.  If Christian Ponder is back (and he should be back) from his bursa sac injury, this one won't be especially close.  (Maryland's home field advantage is not overwhelming.)  However, it's pretty cheesy to pick all chalk, and this is my strongest gut feeling for an upset.  Ponder isn't at 100%, and we are left with... 30-20, Maryland

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