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February 7, 2010

Layup Drill



Random thoughts on Virginia Basketball...

At 14-7/5-3, we're still on the outside looking in at the NCAA Tournament. We really needed to win either the VT or Wake game, both of which we agonizingly lost in OT. The remaining schedule [@UMD, @VT, FSU, @Clemson, @Miami, Duke, @BC, UMD] provides ample opportunity for resume-type wins. But make no mistake: if the Hoos are going dancing this season, the home game against Duke on Feb. 28th is a MUST-WIN.

I'd say the magic number for an NCAA Tournament berth is five, but that five must include the above-mentioned Duke win. Without beating Duke, I'd say the magic number is six. I know an ACC team that finished 10-6 in the conference has missed the tournament before... once. An 11-5 team should be a lock.

My depth chart guess for next season, assuming Landesberg returns for his junior season:
1) Evans / Zeglinski / Farrakhan
2) Zeglinski / KT Harrell / Farrakhan / Jones / Harris
3) Landesberg / Harrell / Spurlock / Harris / Jones
4) Scott / Sherrill / Regan / Johnson / Spurlock
5) Sene / Johnson / Regan

NCAA Tournament or bust.

If we lose Landesberg, I'm not sure we can effectively replace his ~18 ppg unless 4-star shooting guard recruit K.T. Harrell comes in as advertised, Zeglinski continues to improve as a go-to outside shooter, and Evans picks up his scoring ability. We're already facing an offensive downgrade at the center position, with Meyinsse graduating. I'm not sure I think a starting lineup of Evans-Zeglinski-Harrell-Scott-Sene (or Johnson or Regan) is especially NCAA Tourney-worthy... and sadly, Coach Bennett probably needs to make the Big Dance either this year or next in order to hold the fan base's interest.

2010 UVA Football Schedule




In case you missed it with all of the commotion caused by Snowmageddon, the 2010 football schedule was released on Thursday. Here is the slate for Virginia, along with my [insanely early!] win/loss predictions:

9/4 -- Richmond (W, 1-0)
9/11 -- @ USC (L, 1-1)
9/25 -- VMI (W, 2-1)
10/2 -- Florida State (W, 3-1/1-0)
10/9 -- @ Georgia Tech (L, 3-2/1-1)
10/16 -- North Carolina (W, 4-2/2-1)
10/23 -- Eastern Michigan (W, 5-2)
10/30 -- Miami (L, 5-3/2-2)
11/6 -- @ Duke (W, 6-3/3-2)
11/13 -- Maryland (W, 7-3/4-2)
11/20 -- @ Boston College (L, 7-4/4-3)
11/27 -- @ Virginia Tech (L, 7-5/4-4)

I know, 7-5. Too optimistic. But with home games against two FCS teams and a bad Eastern Michigan team, it's well within reach.


My logic on the rest of the wins...

Our bye week comes before the VMI game, which basically means that we get three weeks to prepare for the FSU game on Oct. 2nd. That will be a big game for Mike London -- it'll be his first real chance for a "statement win" as UVA's head coach.

We own UNC.

Duke is losing Thad Lewis, and I think everyone in and around the program understands that Virginia simply CANNOT lose to Duke three years in a row.

Maryland sucks.

February 1, 2010

Salvage Mission -- Virginia's 2010 Recruiting Class

Mike London has hit the ground running as Virginia's new head coach -- he has assembled what I believe to be an excellent coaching staff, while at the same time cobbling together a fairly decent 2010 recruiting class. This year's class is especially solid when you consider the fact that UVA spent the bulk of this recruiting season being led by a lame duck head coach. London has stepped in, pumped some fresh oil through the recruiting pipelines, and dug out a few gems. He took Al Groh's shaky start to this recruiting season and guided it to a solid finish. 2011's class is where London will show his true chops, but his first class at Virginia figures to be a solid one.

As we head toward Signing Day (this Wednesday, Feb. 3rd), let's take a quick Wahooze-style peek at Virginia's 2010 recruiting class. The recruits are listed in order of what I believe to be their ceiling of ability and eventual impact in the Virginia Football program.

1) Kevin "KP" Parks, RB, 5-7 / 193, Mount Ulla NC
KP rushed for over 10,000 yards at the high school level. 10,000+ yards... that's six freaking miles! Needless to say, he shattered a bunch of North Carolina high school records. (But for some reason, he still couldn't get over the three-star hump and earn that coveted fourth star.) He's built like a bowling ball, but this guy is a natural runner, a workhorse type of tailback. With a crowded backfield in 2010, he'll probably redshirt during his freshman season. But after that, look out. KP doesn't have gamebreaking speed nor does he possess the size to be a power back, but he's got every tool you could want in terms of being able to avoid and evade tacklers, slip through cracks, and generate yardage. I've heard him compared to Barry Sanders and LaDainian Tomlinson... which is a little bit crazy. I think he's probably closer to Tiki Barber or Pitt's Dion Lewis, which is still pretty damn good. 2010 impact: redshirt. 2011 impact: potential starter or two-deep.

2) Michael Strauss, QB, 6-3 / 208, Miami FL
We out-dueled Nick Saban and his national champion Crimson Tide to land this signal caller's services. Strauss' game is said to compare favorably to that of Rich Gannon and Mark Brunell -- guys with good (not great) arms, nice accuracy on their passes, and the wheels to be productive on the move. He was able to enroll in January, so there's actually a decent chance that Strauss will be our starting quarterback this fall, if he's able to battle past the likes of Marc Verica, Ross Metheny, and Riko Smalls. Being here for spring practices should be a big boost to his career at Virginia. 2010 impact: potential starter. 2011 impact: QB of the future.

3) Henry Coley, LB, 6-2 / 230, Virginia Beach VA
Coley fits the profile of being a "prototypical" linebacker for Mike London's attacking 4-3 defense. He's quick, instinctive, is a sure tackler, and has a nose for the football. Many think he is the true gem of this recruiting class. Coley projects to middle linebacker, but is said to have the ability to slide outside if roster numbers warrant. 2010 impact: redshirt, two-deep, or special teams. 2011 impact: potential starter.

4) Christopher Brathwaite, DE, 6-1 / 250, Flushing NY
Switching to the 4-3, one of our biggest needs is for defensive ends with the pass rush ability to attack the edge and make an impact. Enter Brathwaite. He wasn't heavily recruited due to his lack of height for the position, but all reports lead to the conclusion that this guy is a flat-out stud when it comes to rushing the passer. Best of all, he's nasty. We can definitely use some more swagger on defense. 2010 impact: redshirt. 2011 impact: potential starter.

5) Rijo Walker, DB, 5-10 / 171, Hampton VA
I always like seeing us land recruits from the 757, and Walker embodies the characteristics that region is known for: toughness, grit, determination, intensity. He's another guy who should add a little swagger to our defense. He projects as a solid cover corner at the college level. 2010 impact: redshirt. 2011 impact: two-deep and special teams.

6) Cody Wallace, OL, 6-5 / 285, Moorestown NJ
Wallace was actually a 2009 commit who had to prep and ended up at Fork Union. Following a similar path as UVA great Branden Albert, Wallace was unheralded coming out of high school, but used his prep year to vastly improve his game. He projects as an interior lineman for Virginia -- as either a mobile pulling-type guard or a center. 2010 impact: redshirt. 2011 impact: competing for spot on the depth chart and special teams.

7) E.J. Scott, WR, 5-11 / 172, Olney MD
ESPN's ACC blogger Heather Dinich listed "offensive playmakers" as our single biggest need this recruiting season. While this class isn't exactly loaded with gamebreaking offensive talent, Scott is probably second (behind KP) on the list. He's a speedy deep threat type of receiver who should be able to benefit from the play action game Bill Lazor hopes to establish at UVA. Scott's offer list was impressive, as schools (Iowa, Maryland, Pitt, Rutgers, Wisconsin, among others) were lined up to land his legit 4.4 speed and big play ability. 2010 impact: redshirt. 2011 impact: competing for spot on the depth chart and special teams.

8) Khalek Shepherd, RB, 5-8 / 166, Brandywine MD
If KP is #1 and Scott is #2, then Shepherd is a close #3 on the "offensive playmakers" list for this class. He's an explosive jitterbug type of runner who projects as a nice change of pace back, slot receiver, and return specialist. He's tiny, but could be extremely effective if placed in the correct roles. His game compares favorably to that of Ole Miss standout Dexter McCluster. 2010 impact: redshirt. 2011 impact: change of pace back and full-time kick/punt returner.

9) Conner Davis, OL, 6-5 / 280, Glen Allen VA
He's an offensive tackle prospect, all the way. Considering that we beat out offers from Virginia Tech, Boston College, Clemson, and West Virginia, I think it's a safe bet to say that this kid has legit FBS-level talent. He'll require some development before he can see the field, but you have to like his upside with good athletic ability and a huge frame. 2010 impact: redshirt. 2011 impact: competing for spot on the depth chart and special teams.

10) Zachary Swanson, TE, 6-6 / 225, Katy TX
A latecomer to the Virginia commitment list (he committed last night!), Swanson is a well-rounded tight end prospect. He's a good in-line blocker with nice receiving ability. I was worried about the future of the TE position, with Lazor guiding the offense back toward a more traditional pro-style system. Swanson fills a big hole in this class. 2010 impact: redshirt. 2011 impact: potential starter, or two-deep.

11) Pablo Alvarez, DB, 6-3 / 190, Miami FL
Perhaps lost a bit in the flood of talent in South Florida, Alvarez comes to Virginia as an underrated guy with "serious playmaking ability, " according to recruiting analysts. He projects to safety within the UVA system, and is a run-and-hit type of player with good ball skills. 2010 impact: redshirt. 2011 impact: competing for spot on the depth chart and special teams.

12) Mike Rocco, QB, 6-3 / 205, Lynchburg VA
Danny Rocco's nephew is a guy who has recently gained some serious momentum in the recruiting world. Coach London and new OC Bill Lazor stole Rocco away from his prior commitment to Mike Groh and Louisville. (For those of you who didn't know, Mike Groh is now the QBs coach under Charlie Strong at Louisville.) Rocco reportedly has a big arm and the instincts to succeed as a pocket passer. With the QB talent layered in this class, he'll need to beat out several other talented players in order to see the field at Virginia. (For the record, my money is on Mike Strauss.) 2010 impact: redshirt. 2011 impact: QB competition.

13) Miles Gooch, QB, 6-4 / 215, Decatur GA
He's been compared to former Wahoo Aaron Brooks, as a scrambling-type QB with good ability in the passing game. He runs a legit 4.6, and may project to a different position at UVA. For now, he starts at QB and faces a battle royale with Strauss and Rocco at the position for the next four or five years. (I secretly hope Gooch ends up being our next great QB, as I would highly enjoy screaming GOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOCH every time he makes a play.) 2010 impact: redshirt. 2011 impact: QB competition or a position switch.

14) Ryan Cobb, LB/FB, 5-11 / 216, Ramsey NJ
Cobb is a decent linebacker prospect, but it might be his ability to play the fullback position that earns him playing time as a true freshman. 2010 impact: potential starter (at fullback). 2011 impact: starter (at fullback), or competing for spot on the depth chart and special teams (at linebacker.)

15) Kyrrel Latimer, S, 5-10 / 205, Hyattsville MD
A centerfielder-type free safety, Latimer is said to have plus coverage ability and a nose for the football. He enters a fairly crowded defensive backfield here at Virginia, and will probably see work on special teams long before he tastes action in the base defense. 2010 impact: redshirt. 2011 impact: competing for spot on the depth chart and special teams.

16) Jake McGee, TE/QB, 6-5 / 210, Richmond VA
London hand-picked McGee to be his quarterback of the future at Richmond, but after he accepted the Virginia job he pursued McGee as a tight end prospect for the Hoos. With Zach Swanson filling the hole at TE in this class, McGee might get a chance to battle Strauss, Rocco, and Gooch at the QB position before he's slotted elsewhere. This guy has plus athleticism for the QB position, but would need to pack on some weight before playing tight end at the college level. At this point, I'm assuming he switches to tight end fairly early in his UVA career. 2010 impact: redshirt. 2011 impact: competing for spot on the depth chart and special teams.

17) Stephen Lawe, OL/DL, 6-5 / 285, Norfolk VA
Lawe fits the mold of "jumbo athlete," capable of playing any position on either line... once he's spent some time developing in a FBS-level strength and conditioning program. He's raw, but he could end up filling in at either offensive tackle, offensive guard, or defensive tackle later in his career. You can never have enough depth up front, so Lawe is a good recruit to be able to add to the roster in an attempt to stockpile talent along the lines. 2010 impact: redshirt. 2011 impact: competing for spot on the depth chart and special teams.


Why no mention of massive offensive lineman Morgan Moses? Because I have my doubts on whether or not he'll end up signing with UVA. And even if he does become a Hoo on Wednesday, I have my doubts on whether or not he'll ever be able to get and stay eligible here. He's clearly the most talented player in this class, but I don't see him making it to or being able to stay afloat at Virginia.

If I'm wrong and Moses does make it Virginia and qualifies to play this fall, I think he'll be our starting right tackle and a future star at the position.


January 29, 2010

ACC Baseball Preview


Kendall Rogers (no relation) recently put together an excellent preview of the upcoming ACC baseball season for Yahoo Sports and the Rivals Network. BANG IT HERE.

Spoiler Alert! Virginia is favored to win the ACC, and features five of Kendall's eleven-member all-conference team.

Folks, our baseball team is loaded for bear this season, and it's pretty much Omaha or bust. GO HOOS!

The Elephant in the Room

No, I'm not purposefully trying to ignore the utterly gut-wrenching loss we suffered to Virginia Tech in overtime last night. In fact, I'm still just trying to process it. What does it all mean? Some assorted thoughts:

  • Sylven Landesberg is a great player. But he's no superstar. And he's no Sean Singletary. And he's not ready for the NBA, not even close. My complaints with Sylven run three deep: 1) he's not good defensively, 2) his jumper, while improved, is still not a weapon that he's confident in using, and 3) he's afraid to take and make the big shot (UNCW game-winner notwithstanding); he hasn't developed into the closer we so desperately need him to be. Landesberg needs to be a four-year player, but I fear he'll hamstring the program by trying to leave early. The NBA doesn't care if you can't play defense, but that league does tend to dislike shrinking violets.
  • Virginia Tech has surpassed Virginia in the pecking order of college basketball. But given the facilities at each school, the tradition, and the coaching talent, I think this is a short-term development. This Virginia Tech team is average at best, and this average team is at or near the peak of what they can accomplish. Our team is currently below average when it comes to ACC talent, and last night's loss proved it. I'm not worried about the trajectory of our program, nor am I concerned that Tech has now become a better basketball school than UVA.
  • We're not an NCAA Tournament team this year. We might be an NIT team. Virginia fans should rejoice if Tony Bennett can coax a winning season out of this bunch. I'm not down on the team or the players, mind you... just taking a realistic look at the roster. We have two players who should be ACC starters (Landesberg and Mike Scott), and a few others that belong on ACC rosters as role players. We have some guys on our team receiving regular playing time that simply do not belong on an ACC-caliber roster.
  • $10 tickets... Ergg... Well, let me start by saying that I applaud the athletic department for FINALLY realizing that they had priced themselves out of being able to attract new fans and rectifying the problem by offering a cheap ticket option. The idea sort of backfired when the Hokies scraped together enough pizza delivery money to invade our home arena en masse. Why was the Duke game ticket price not lowered, but Virginia Tech was? Somebody in the ticket office made a blunder that must be called out. Furthermore, Virginia fans need to make it a freaking point to keep Hokies out of and away from our home games!
  • Tony Bennett will get it done at UVA. My confidence in this fact wasn't shaken at all by last night's game. Once he stockpiles his own talent and gets his systems ingrained in the players to the point that they execute on an instinctive level, we'll be where Washington State was over the last few years -- winning consistently, Tournament appearances every two out of three years, consistent trips to the Sweet Sixteen. We'll get there. Be patient.
  • I hate Virginia Tech fans now more than ever. They are the scum of the earth. They pick fights and are openly contemptuous. I wish them nothing but the worst, forever more. Jeff Allen and Virginia Tech deserve each other.

"Oregon of the East" and Other Assorted Rumblings



First of all, apologies to my loyal readers for the recent spotty updating of the Wahooze blog. 2010 has been a busy year for yours truly... not too busy to roll around in the muck that is Virginia athletics, but [unfortunately] too busy to spend much time writing about it. Rest assured, Wahooze remains near and dear to my heart, and I'm doing my best to un-swamp myself and get back in the healthy rhythm of posting. Today, I'll try to hit you guys with some rapid-fire news and notes, starting with...

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This past weekend (Jan. 22) was a big recruiting weekend for Mike London and the Virginia Football program. Almost all of the committed class of 2010 was in attendance, along with a handful of uncommitted prospects. One of the biggest bits of news to come from the event wasn't really recruiting related. Instead, it was the buzz created by the coaching staff announcing to the players that UVA would be changing up its football uniform, and introducing many different variables and alternate uniforms. The staff announced that from a uniform standpoint Virginia would become, and I quote, "the Oregon of the East." Check a look at the above pictured overview of Oregon's 2008 uniform package, and use the power of imagination to see the possibilities in orange and navy blue.

Whether you approve of the concept of Virginia as the Oregon of the East or not, be aware that the 16, 17, and 18 year old kids we're recruiting to play football absolutely LOVE the idea. Personally, I don't really enjoy trying to connect the dots between fashion and football, but I will admit that I'm a bit of a uniform-phile. And I think we can really benefit from a bit of a "rebirth" when it comes to pretty much everything involving football. Changing the uniforms is a part of that rebirth. We went in as a sluggish, unexciting, boring, borderline inept navy blue football team, and hopefully we'll explode from the cocoon as a fast, hard-hitting, fired-up squad decked out in gaudy orange and blue 4th alternate uniforms.

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About 1000 times more important than the uniform change is the fact that Coach London has [finally] settled on an offensive coordinator to run that side of the ball. I'll have an exhaustive "meet the coaching staff" post for you soon, but for now feast your eyes on the press release naming Bill Lazor as Virginia's offensive coordinator.

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And since we were kind of on the topic of this past weekend's recruiting, we've had a few new players join the 2010 class this week:
  • 3-star quarterback Miles Gooch (Decatur, GA), whose game has been compared to former UVA standout Aaron Brooks.
  • Unrated offensive lineman Stephen Lawe (Norfolk, VA), who is a relative late bloomer on the recruiting scene, but who has recently drawn serious interest from Virginia Tech and a few other BCS conference schools.
  • 2-star QB Jake McGee (Richmond, VA), poached from the Richmond commitment list and projected to the UVA offense as a tight end. (You might remember another unheralded 2-star high school quarterback-turned-tight end... Heath Miller? Yeah, that guy was pretty good.)
Coach London is cobbling together a fairly decent recruiting class, considering the wholly underwhelming class Al Groh left behind. It won't be a heralded group, but it could help provide some of the bedrock for what London is trying to build at UVA. Stay tuned for a Wahooze-style overview of the 2010 class, coming soon as National Letter of Intent Day approaches -- next Wednesday, February 3.

January 20, 2010

Random Thoughts on Virginia Basketball


At 3-0 in the conference and alone in first place, Virginia Basketball is starting to get some national recognition, namely from ESPN's Andy Katz.
After beating Miami handily, could Virginia could be 9-7 in the ACC and make the NCAA tournament? The Cavs already have three quality wins (UAB, Miami and Georgia Tech). The Cavs may only lose one home game (Duke) and could easily steal a road win at maybe BC later in the season. Tony Bennett is your leader in the clubhouse for ACC coach of the year.
Check out his Weekly Watch column for more good words.


The Roanoke Times also delivered some good press. Check out Aaron McFarling's recent column -- At UVA, Fun is Back in Style.


The thread finally surfaced on the CavsCorner "Hoos Next" board, but I had already been pondering the topic for a few days... What is UVA's MAGIC NUMBER to make the NCAA Tournament field of 65 this March? At 12-4, 3-0 and with 13 ACC games left to play (not including at least one game in the ACC tournament), I think we need to win seven more games down the stretch to get into the Big Dance. Doesn't matter when, doesn't matter against whom. Getting to 10-6 in the ACC pretty much assures us a spot. 9-7 or worse, not so much. 7-6 over the next 13 games gets it done, and the schedule is pretty darn favorable.


In fact, here are my predictions for the second half of Virginia's regular season schedule:

1/23 @ Wake Forest -- loss
1/28 Virginia Tech -- win
1/31 @ North Carolina -- loss
2/3 NC State -- win
2/6 Wake Forest -- win
2/10 @ Maryland -- loss
2/13 @ Virginia Tech -- loss
2/17 Florida State -- loss
2/20 @ Clemson -- loss
2/23 @ Miami -- win
2/28 Duke -- win
3/3 @ Boston College -- win
3/6 Maryland -- win

This Saturday's game against Wage is HUGE. Win that one, and we're at 4-0, and our recent run is legitimized. And you know what? I think that game is infinitely winnable. Wake has a good team, but it plays sloppy. If we roll in playing good solid Bennett Ball, I think we could shock them on their home court.

The four game stretch in mid-February -- @ Maryland, @ VT, FSU, and @ Clemson -- looks really brutal to me.


Jontel Evans, Mustapha Farrakhan, Sammy Zeglinski, and Jerome Meyinsse continue to improve with each game. These four players are the critical role players that allow Sylven Landesberg and Mike Scott to shine. If this quartet can continue to play well, the Tournament seems within reach...

GO HOOS!