UVA's Bubble Watch has started well. The only negatives came from squads that were playing against other teams on the Bubble Watch (Iowa over Illinois, Ole Miss over Alabama).
Heading into a big night of Bubble Watch action (11 games, including two Double Bubble contests:Stanford/Cal and Air Force/San Diego State), UVA's Bubble Score is 4. The higher the better.
"Virginia may be the most enigmatic team in the country. I wouldn't be surprised to see Virginia bounced in Round 1 (yes, I think the Cavaliers will be in the field) or win two games. How can you predict what the Cavs will do? Brackets will bust with the Cavaliers."
Wednesday was not a good night for the UVA Bubble Watch. Maryland was the only team to lose that wasn't a part of the two Double Bubble contests. That's crazy bad. The Bubble Score went from 4 to -3. Iowa State, Villanova and Xavier all scored "signature victories" over Top 25 opponents.
From Eamonn Brennan's updated Bubble Watch column:
Virginia [20-9 (10-6), RPI: 62, SOS: 132] The Cavaliers have one of the greatest -- and by "greatest," I mean "most bemusing" -- NCAA tournament profiles of all time. The past seven days are a perfect example why. Last Thursday, UVa got the win of its season, an impressive wire-to-wire 73-68 performance against Duke. And three days later -- of course -- the Cavaliers lost at Boston College. That dynamic is why UVa's nitty-gritty page is so lopsided. There's a series of great wins over Duke, UNC, NC State and at Wisconsin; there are also losses to Georgia Tech, BC, Wake Forest, Clemson, Delaware, George Mason and Old Dominion. It was easier to write some of the bad losses off as injury-riddled, early-season slip-ups, but it's harder to do so after BC. And that whole truckload of ugly makes wins in Virginia's final two games -- at Florida State and against Maryland -- musts.
We're still in Joe Lunardi's Last Four Byes (which I believe to mean the last four in BEFORE the last four in). A win at Florida State tonight is a must. At least for our nerves.
Not to mention, critical for our chances to regain the 3 seed in the ACC tourney, or at the very least, the 4 seed. Slipping to the 5 and losing to Va Tech in round 1 of the ACC tourney would be worse than a 10 win season imo.
For what its worth, Lunardi still has us in the Last Four In. It helps us that the bubble is so soft, but we're also part of the reason the bubble is so soft. Definitely have to win our next two.
Silver lining: both Bubble Watch teams lost last night, improving the Bubble Watch Score to -1. We get tonight off to lick our wounds, but Saturday is HUGE. 19 Ws and Ls will be recorded.
-6. Bubble teams are winning while we're sitting on two straight losses. We have to win big tomorrow and make some noise in the ACCT. Fear should be present, but we must counter it with hope.
After reviewing my work and ensuring I've fully updated the viewing guide, the Bubble Score now sits at -3. We've got a slate of games to pay attention to today as the Big East, Pac 12 and WAC tourneys get under way.
One game with Bif Thief potential is the Patriot League final tonight at 7:30 PM ET. Bucknell hosts Lafayette, and we all should be cheering on the Bison. Not sure they'd make the tournament with a loss, but a win will remove that apprehension.
-4 after Wednesday night's slate of games. And a whole lot more to come today. Bucknell took care of business in the Patriot League, so no worries there. Most importantly, today will kick off the ACC tournnament and determine if we play Virginia Tech or NC State. 99% chances its State. Home stretch boys.
Boise losing to SDSU was pretty big for the bubble picture. Lots still think the Broncos are in, but with a win over State, we clearly outclass them (and we might even with a loss against State).
UVA's Bubble Watch has started well. The only negatives came from squads that were playing against other teams on the Bubble Watch (Iowa over Illinois, Ole Miss over Alabama).
ReplyDeleteHeading into a big night of Bubble Watch action (11 games, including two Double Bubble contests:Stanford/Cal and Air Force/San Diego State), UVA's Bubble Score is 4. The higher the better.
The Google Spreadsheet has been updated.
Happy viewing.
A nugget from Andy Katz's blog entry on Monday:
ReplyDelete"Virginia may be the most enigmatic team in the country. I wouldn't be surprised to see Virginia bounced in Round 1 (yes, I think the Cavaliers will be in the field) or win two games. How can you predict what the Cavs will do? Brackets will bust with the Cavaliers."
Wednesday was not a good night for the UVA Bubble Watch. Maryland was the only team to lose that wasn't a part of the two Double Bubble contests. That's crazy bad. The Bubble Score went from 4 to -3. Iowa State, Villanova and Xavier all scored "signature victories" over Top 25 opponents.
ReplyDeleteFrom Eamonn Brennan's updated Bubble Watch column:
Virginia [20-9 (10-6), RPI: 62, SOS: 132] The Cavaliers have one of the greatest -- and by "greatest," I mean "most bemusing" -- NCAA tournament profiles of all time. The past seven days are a perfect example why. Last Thursday, UVa got the win of its season, an impressive wire-to-wire 73-68 performance against Duke. And three days later -- of course -- the Cavaliers lost at Boston College. That dynamic is why UVa's nitty-gritty page is so lopsided. There's a series of great wins over Duke, UNC, NC State and at Wisconsin; there are also losses to Georgia Tech, BC, Wake Forest, Clemson, Delaware, George Mason and Old Dominion. It was easier to write some of the bad losses off as injury-riddled, early-season slip-ups, but it's harder to do so after BC. And that whole truckload of ugly makes wins in Virginia's final two games -- at Florida State and against Maryland -- musts.
We're still in Joe Lunardi's Last Four Byes (which I believe to mean the last four in BEFORE the last four in). A win at Florida State tonight is a must. At least for our nerves.
ReplyDeleteNot to mention, critical for our chances to regain the 3 seed in the ACC tourney, or at the very least, the 4 seed. Slipping to the 5 and losing to Va Tech in round 1 of the ACC tourney would be worse than a 10 win season imo.
ReplyDeleteMan dis some bull.
ReplyDeleteWelp, don't need to worry about this anymore!
ReplyDeleteFor what its worth, Lunardi still has us in the Last Four In. It helps us that the bubble is so soft, but we're also part of the reason the bubble is so soft. Definitely have to win our next two.
ReplyDeleteSilver lining: both Bubble Watch teams lost last night, improving the Bubble Watch Score to -1. We get tonight off to lick our wounds, but Saturday is HUGE. 19 Ws and Ls will be recorded.
Buckle up.
-6. Bubble teams are winning while we're sitting on two straight losses. We have to win big tomorrow and make some noise in the ACCT. Fear should be present, but we must counter it with hope.
ReplyDelete-5 heading into conference tourney play. Any chance MTSU steals an at-large bid?
ReplyDeleteI'll be working on updating the Viewing Guide this morning.
After reviewing my work and ensuring I've fully updated the viewing guide, the Bubble Score now sits at -3. We've got a slate of games to pay attention to today as the Big East, Pac 12 and WAC tourneys get under way.
ReplyDeleteOne game with Bif Thief potential is the Patriot League final tonight at 7:30 PM ET. Bucknell hosts Lafayette, and we all should be cheering on the Bison. Not sure they'd make the tournament with a loss, but a win will remove that apprehension.
ReplyDelete-4 after Wednesday night's slate of games. And a whole lot more to come today. Bucknell took care of business in the Patriot League, so no worries there. Most importantly, today will kick off the ACC tournnament and determine if we play Virginia Tech or NC State. 99% chances its State. Home stretch boys.
ReplyDeleteBoise losing to SDSU was pretty big for the bubble picture. Lots still think the Broncos are in, but with a win over State, we clearly outclass them (and we might even with a loss against State).
ReplyDelete